Picks of the prelims
By Cameron Carlson
Carlos Ulberg vs Fabio Cherant
15 Significant strikes landed per minute, how can you not be excited about that? Despite his last fight ending in a loss Carlos Ulberg remains one of my favorite prospects. The pace he was able to put on Nzechukwu before getting clipped was magnificent. On debut Ulberg outstruck his opponent 83-38 and 63-44 in each of the rounds with a huge slip in his defense exposing a potential chink in his armor in the form of his chin.
Its extremely difficult to see a way for Cherant to win this fight. He is coming off 2 losses in his first two UFC fights against William Knight(also on the 271 card) and Alonzo Menifield. The only opportunity that I could see is Cherantgoing back to his base by exploiting the City Kickboxing ground weakness for some sort of submission win.
Prediction: Ulberg UD
Andrei Arlovski vs Jared Vanderaa
I fully expect this to be a mess of a fight with very little separating the two. Arlovski has had a return to form as of late, winning 4 for 5 in the last two years. All of these wins have come by decision with the loss coming by submission to rising heavyweight prospect Tom Aspinall. The stats are massively skewed by Arlovskis early career where he was running over his opposition, and his last 5 years of patiently out striking and out pointing haven’t adjusted them fully.
We haven’t seen Vanderaa against a high level striker that would plan to outpace him for the full 15 minutes but the closest we did get was against Justin Tafa and Vanderaa was able to mix up his striking and pull away on the numbers (121 to 74 significant strikes).
Prediction: Vanderaa UD
Alexander Hernandez vs Renato Moicano
Going 3-2 and 2-3 in their last 5 respectively Hernandez and Moicano are both standing on the border of the lightweight elite looking for their way in. Hernandez has lost to Thiago Moises, Drew Dober and Donald Cerrone while Moicano’s last 4 UFC losses have come by way of Brian Ortega, Jose Aldo, The Korean Zombie and Rafael Fiziev.
Of his last 3 losses Moicano has failed to secure a takedown in each of them with he’s gotten a takedown in each of those. When he can secure a takedown he uses his strikes to get his opponents to open up for rear naked chokes (4 in his UFC career).
Prediction: Moicano Sub
Sergey Morozov vs Douglas Silva de Andrade
Takedowns should decide the fight. Morozov took Khalid Taha down 6 times and won, he got taken down 5 times by Umar Nurmagomedov on lost. The closest comparison we have seen to Morozov in Andrades career was Tukhugov and that is what I expect to see again.
Prediction: Morozov UD